Australian Electricity Forward Curve Artefact

Detects Australian electricity forward/broker curve exports - forward or broker curve phrasing tied to NEM regional reference identifiers (QLD1, NSW1, VIC1, SA1, TAS1), load shape terms (flat/peak/off-peak), or calendar/quarter strip notation (Cal27, Q1-27, CY2027, FY27) with $/MWh values. Internal curve marks reveal a participant's price expectations and valuation basis.

Type

regex

Engine

boost_regex

Confidence

low

Confidence justification

Low confidence: curve vocabulary overlaps with published market commentary and ASX Energy settlement summaries. The pattern is discovery-oriented; enforcement precision comes from corroborative keywords, volume thresholds and participant-specific curve names supplied via customer overlay dictionaries.

Jurisdictions

au

Regulations

Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) - market integrity

Frameworks

ISO 27001

Data categories

energy-market, trading, financial

Scope

wide

Risk rating

7

Platform compatibility

Purview: Compatible, GCP DLP: Compatible, Macie: Compatible, Zscaler: Compatible, Palo Alto: Compatible, Netskope: Unsupported

Pattern

\b(?:forward|broker|price)\s+curves?\b[\s\S]{0,200}(?:\b(?:QLD1|NSW1|VIC1|SA1|TAS1)\b|\bCal\s?[0-9]{2}\b|\bQ[1-4][\s/-]?[0-9]{2}\b|(?:\$|AUD)\s?[0-9]{1,4}(?:\.[0-9]{1,2})?\s?/\s?MWh)|\b(?:QLD1|NSW1|VIC1|SA1|TAS1)\b[\s\S]{0,80}\b(?:flat|peak|off-?peak)\b[\s\S]{0,80}(?:\$|AUD)\s?[0-9]{1,4}(?:\.[0-9]{1,2})?\s?/\s?MWh

Corroborative evidence keywords

mark-to-market, valuation, hedge, book, long-term pricing, internal estimate, risk forward

Proximity: 300 characters

Should match

• internal forward curve update: QLD1 flat Cal27 marked at $71.20/MWh — Curve mark with region, strip and price
• broker curve import - Q1-27 peak $118/MWh, off-peak $44/MWh — Broker curve with quarter strip and prices
• QLD1 off-peak marked at $38.75/MWh in the risk forward book — Region + shape + price arm

Should not match

• the road has a forward curve ahead, slow down — Prose curve without market vocabulary
• ASX futures settled higher on Tuesday according to the AFR — Public market commentary without curve/region/price structure
• QLD1 was the highest demand region last summer — Region identifier without shape and price context

Known false positives

• Published market reports and ASX Energy summaries quote regional prices and strips legitimately. Mitigation: Discovery-only by default; require internal-valuation keywords for enforcement and exclude public market-report locations.

References

• AEMO NEM regional reference nodes (QLD1/NSW1/VIC1/SA1/TAS1)
• AFMA Electricity Conventions - strip and shape conventions