Pre-Release Earnings Guidance with Financials

Detects draft earnings guidance, profit warnings, or financial results before market disclosure. For QLD Government, this applies to GOCs subject to continuous disclosure obligations.

Type

keyword_proximity

Engine

universal

Confidence

medium

Confidence justification

Medium confidence: the combination of earnings/profit terms with pre-release markers and specific financial metrics is highly distinctive. Published financial results and analyst reports are excluded.

Jurisdictions

global

Regulations

Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), Criminal Code 1899 (Qld)

Frameworks

QGISCF

Data categories

financial

Scope

wide

Risk rating

8

Corroborative evidence keywords

earnings, profit, revenue, financial results, guidance, draft, pre-release, embargoed, not for release, pre-announcement, per share, dividend, EBITDA, NPAT, underlying profit, profit warning, earnings guidance, Energy Queensland, Stanwell, CS Energy (+16 more)

Proximity: 300 characters

Should match

• PROTECTED — EMBARGOED UNTIL ASX ANNOUNCEMENT. Draft Earnings Guidance FY26. NPAT forecast: $245M (down 12% on prior year). EBITDA: $890M. Dividend recommendation: 45 cents per share (reduced from 60 cents). Underlying profit impacted by coal price decline. — Pre-release earnings guidance with financial metrics
• Pre-release — Not for distribution. Energy Queensland Financial Results H1 FY26. Revenue: $4.2B. NPAT: $310M. Profit warning: Full-year NPAT expected to be 15-20% below guidance. Board to consider dividend revision. PROTECTED — insider information. — GOC pre-release financial results with profit warning
• CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT — embargoed. FY26 profit guidance ahead of ASX release: underlying NPAT of $412M, up 8% on prior year. Not for distribution until market open. — Embargoed draft profit guidance with dollar metric before disclosure

Should not match

• ASX Announcement: Company X reports FY25 results, with net profit after tax of 245 million dollars and revenue of 1.8 billion dollars, fully franked dividend declared. Released to market. — Published ASX announcement — public information
• Analyst report: We expect Energy Queensland to report net profit after tax of approximately 300 million dollars based on current market conditions. Our estimate is below consensus. — Analyst forecast based on public information
• PROTECTED — Draft. Not for release. Quarterly revenue summary: total revenue $4.2M against operating costs of $3.1M. Confidential working figures for internal use. — shared financial substrate without distinctive signature must not fire

Known false positives

• Published financial results and ASX announcements Mitigation: Exclude documents containing 'ASX announcement', 'published', 'released to market' without pre-release/embargo markers
• Analyst reports and market commentary with estimated earnings Mitigation: Exclude documents containing 'analyst report', 'we expect', 'estimate', 'consensus' indicating external analysis